Hello, I recently built a prediction market to predict PoH related events, by using prode, a tool built by @Koki and @fnanni. This is mostly for fun but also we can use collective intelligence to predict the future.
Here there are instructions on how to play (in Spanish, intended for FORK DAO, a parallel community intimately related to PoH): Telegram: Join Group Chat
This is the message with the instructions: Telegram
Link to the market: prode.eth
Market closes on 2022-10-27, please place your bets before. You will need 3 xDAI (3 USD), the native token of Gnosis Chain. If you don’t have them, refer to the next post in this thread to get them.
There are 16 Yes/No questions that will be answered on 2022-11-22. Players rank depending on the matched predictions:
1st place gets 50%
2nd place gets 30%
3rd place gets 20%
I’m not sure what happens if there’s a tie.
There’s a 4.5% fee in place. 1.5% goes to the devs of the tool, 3% goes to the FORK DAO treasury. Play if you’re fine with this, and also play responsibly.
- Will Sobol become a PoH MB before 2022-11-22?
- Will Susie be functioning as moderator in any FORK DAO Telegram group before 2022-11-22?
- Will Clement be kicked out of the PoH MB before 2022-11-22 11:01?
- Will HIP-28 (reduce submissionBaseDeposit) be executed via governor in Proof of Humanity before 2022-11-22 11:01?
- Will the PoH MB cease to exist before 2022-11-22?
- Will HIP-72 (Grant to fund a PoH airdrop solution) pass?
- Will UBI token trade trade above 1 cent at any time during 2022-11-21?
- Will FORK DAO obtain a grant before 2022-11-22?
- Will Green (@greenlucid) be unbanned from a permaban on any PoH official groups before 2022-11-22?
- Will Justin Kalland be kicked out of the PoH MB before 2022-11-22?
- Will Santi Siri be kicked out of the PoH MB before 2022-11-22?
- Will Luis (@ludoviko) be unbanned from a permaban on any PoH official groups before 2022-11-22?
- Will Lety stop being a moderator in PoH official Telegram groups by before 2022-11-22?
- Will UBI token contract ever be upgraded before 2022-11-22?
- Will there be a PNK airdrop to PoH users before 2022-11-22?
- Will a consensual fork take place in PoH before 2022-11-22 11:01?